If Jobs Picture Continues to Improve It Could Be 5 Times More Difficult to Get a New Job in 2010

While the latest jobs report indicated that theremarket. Hiring companies are very much "calling the
might at last be a glimmer of hope for the jobless,* Ishots" and apparently will continue to do so. No
wouldn't recommend breaking out the champagne tolonger are hiring companies focused on seeing how
celebrate quite yet. Why? Because, if the job marketmany applicants they can include in their "pool" of
continues to improve (still a BIG "if," of course!), itpotential employees. Rather, their focus now is on,
likely will serve as the "trigger" for the 60 to 80and apparently shall remain on, how many applicants
million people (over one-half of the currentlythey can exclude from the "pool," and do that as
employed) who have indicated in recent surveysquickly as possible, in order to get to the applicants
conducted by and Manpower, Inc. that they intend towho ultimately will be selected for positions.
"jump ship" for new career opportunities once theBrutal? Unfair? You bet, but all signs are pointing to
economy is truly on the mend.the fact that that's still the way it is and will continue
So, if this exodus actually occurs, rather than theto be for sometime in the job market.
current average of six applicants for every openGone forever are the days when an applicant could
position in the job market, there easily could be anmerely put together a resume, fire it off to
average of thirty applicants for every open position,prospective employers and then merely wait for their
beginning as soon as 2010! That would represent an"number" to come up, i.e., to be offered a new job.
average FIVE-FOLD increase in the applicants-to-jobToday, only those applicants who know how to play
ratio! Certainly that would create significantly moreby the NEW set of "rules" in the "hiring game," and
turbulence in the already chaotic job market, as wellthen actually start playing by those new rules, can
as put additional, tremendous stress and strain on theever hope to be positioned as a TOP candidate for
unemployed.virtually any job! All others will quickly and summarily
Currently Employed Totally Fed Up with Theirbe excluded from further consideration. Believe that.
EmployersThe New Realities of the Job Market
This anticipated mass exodus of the currentlyWhile, as already stated, currently employed people
employed will be precipitated, the survey resultswill have somewhat of an advantage over the
indicate, because many, if not most, feel they haveunemployed when it comes to competing for new
been hard put upon by their employers during thejobs that may be created over the next few years,
Great Recession. They have had to endure thei.e., merely by the fact that they, unlike the
ongoing emotional trauma of watching fellowunemployed, have been able to stay employed
employees be fired, laid off or downsized, while dailythrough the recent rough times, they also are at
fearing for their own jobs. They have received eithersomewhat of a disadvantage. That is, if they haven't
miniscule raises or none at all. In some cases they"tested the waters" for quite a few years, chances
have even had to take salary reductions. They haveare, not only do they not know how to play by the
had to shoulder a workload that normally would haveNEW "rules" of the "hiring game," they probably don't
been handled by several employees. In a nutshell,even know that they exist!
they are simply fed up with the (real or perceived)Insofar as the unemployed are concerned, many still
treatment they (and their fellow employees) haveapparently haven't bought into the fact that the rules
received from their employers during the last severalof the game have actually changed. (This is
years and feel little, if any, loyalty to them.evidenced by the fact that so many of them
An optimist might say, well, the currently unemployedcontinue to do the same things over and over in
could simply take the jobs that will be vacated bytoday's job market, i.e., send out resume after
those people leaving their current employers for newresume, spend hours each day on the job boards,
jobs that may be created in the economy over theetc., etc., all the while continuing to expect different
next couple of years. Ostensibly that may even beresults!) Until they disavow themselves of this belief,
true. A realist, however, might point out that it'suntil they quit hoping that things will soon return to
important to keep in mind that most companies tend"normal," they, too, are destined to experience
to take their own, sweet time when it comes tocontinued frustration, disappointment and stress.
replacing employees who leave their employ. It wouldIn order to be successful in today's (and tomorrow's!)
therefore be reasonable to expect companiesjob market, both of these groups, the currently
experiencing significant employee losses to followemployed and the unemployed, will first have to
suit, to take a "wait and see" attitude. For how long?accept the fact that the rules have changed, learn
Who knows? In the best case scenario it can takewhat these new rules are, and then diligently apply
several months for companies to replace positions, ifthem to their job searches. Unfortunately, there are
they indeed replace them at all. Plus, to add insult tono other realistic choices that I am aware of, and my
injury, the first to even be considered for most ofopinion is based not on some "gut" feeling. Rather, it
these positions that may become open quite likely willis based upon years of experience working in the job
be those who are "jumping ship" from othermarket, both with candidates and with hiring
companies, not the unemployed!managers and companies, each and every business
Employed, Unemployed Must Learn NEW 'Rules' ofday of each and every business week.
'Hiring Game'I've always admired the cleverness and
Obviously, it remains to be seen as to exactly howappropriateness in a wide variety of situations and
things will ultimately shape up in the job market oncecircumstances of the Boy Scout's motto: Be
new jobs start to be created. And it may takePrepared. As we enter 2010 that would seem to be
several more years before the job market picturevery good advice for both the employed who may
starts to come into anything resembling a clear focus.seek new career opportunities and the unemployed
Still, if ever there was a time that job seekers, bothwho desperately want and need to get back into the
those employed people who plan to search out newgame!
career opportunities and the unemployed, need to*Released December 4, 2009. Total U.S.
learn the NEW "rules" of the "hiring game," and howunemployment in November dipped slightly, to 10%
to effectively apply them to compete in the market,(from 10.2%), and employers shed "just" 11,000 jobs.
that would be now.This performance was considerably better than the
What characterizes these NEW "rules"? Withnet job loss of 111,000 the previous month, and beat
competition for jobs already at fever pitch and likelythe predictions of the Labor Department and many
to get even worse, the job market definitely is (andeconomists.
will remain for the foreseeable future) a buyer's